Workshop on measuring population ageing and assessing its economic and fiscal consequences in Asia-Pacific
Bangkok, Thailand
Date:
24 June 2019 to 27 June 2019
Overview
Integrating population and development strategies into planning and decision-making is a key objective of the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD). It is also an important area of work of the United Nations Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) and the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) in support of Member States.
Achievement of an inclusive economic development that leaves no one behind requires good investment and good planning. Because achieving the SDGs by 2030 also means insuring their sustainability beyond 2030, training in the use of long-run population, economic, and fiscal forecasts is an important component of capacity development as envisioned by Madrid International Plan of Action on Ageing.
In this context, the Population Division of DESA and ESCAP are organizing the Asia-Pacific Workshop on Measuring Population Ageing and Assessing its Economic and Fiscal Consequences, to be held at the United Nations Conference Centre in Bangkok from 24 to 27 June 2019.
The Workshop recognizes that population ageing will be one of the most important forces shaping the outcome of social and economic policy in the coming decades in the Asian and Pacific region, yet it is not always explicitly included in policy discussions. Because its influence is difficult to discern in the short-run, a myopic policy focus inevitably results in delays in addressing mounting challenges such as population ageing, climate change, non-communicable disease and environmental degradation.
Objective
The Workshop objective is to introduce (a) new measures of population ageing that reflect the emerging demographic landscape of the Asian and Pacific region, and (b) innovative methods for assessing the medium- and long-run economic and fiscal impacts of population ageing.
The Workshop is intended for government officials and national professionals (demographers, statisticians, economists and others) involved in envisioning national futures via population, economic, fiscal or budgetary forecasts. It is expected that participants will be informed on the use of population projections for economic and fiscal planning and thereby ensure long-term sustainable development.
Documents
Organization of work
| Monday, 24 June 2019 | |
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| 09:00 – 10:00 |
Item 1: Welcome and course introduction [presentation] |
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| 10:30 – 11:00 |
Item 2: Population ageing in Asia-Pacific: challenges and opportunities [presentation] |
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| 11:00 – 11:45 |
Item 3: “Future-proofing” sustainable development: the need for projections [presentarion] |
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| 13:15 – 14:15 |
Item 4: New demographic measures of ageing [presentation] |
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| 14:15 – 15:00 |
Item 5: Country presentations: Long-run economic and fiscal forecasts |
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| 15:30 – 17:00 |
Item 6: Hands-on training (Calculation of demographic measures of ageing: Chronological age, thanatological age, and prospective age) |
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| Tuesday, 25 June 2019 | |
| 09:00 – 10:00 |
Item 7: Forecasting the economic consequences of population ageing [presentation] |
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| 10:30 – 12:00 |
Item 8: Hands-on training (Country case studies of 50-year economic forecasts) |
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| 13:15 – 13:30 |
Item 9: UNFPA activities in Asia-Pacific on population ageing and National Transfer Accounts [presentation] |
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| 13:30 – 14:00 |
Item 10: Population ageing and social protection [presentation] |
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| 14:00 – 15:00 |
Item 11: Scenario forecasts to assess policy responses to population ageing |
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| 15:15 – 16:00 |
Item 12: Country presentations: Long-run economic and fiscal forecasts |
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| 16:00 – 17:00 |
Item 13: Hands-on training (Country case studies of policy responses to population ageing: investing in education, promoting gender equality, insuring healthy ageing) [presentation] |
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| Wednesday, 26 June 2019 | |
| 09:00 – 10:00 |
Item 14: Forecasting the consequences of population ageing for public financing of education and pensions [presentation] |
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| 10:30 – 12:00 |
Item 15: Hands-on training (Country case studies of 50-year forecasts for public spending on education and pensions) |
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| 13:30 – 14:00 |
Item 16: A life course perspective on population ageing: Learning from research on the demographic dividend [presentation] |
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| 14:00 – 15:00 |
Item 17: Forecasting the consequences of population ageing for public financing of health care [presentation] |
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| 15:15 – 16:00 |
Item 18: Country presentations: Long-run economic and fiscal forecasts |
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| 16:00 – 17:00 |
Item 19: Hands-on training (Country case studies of 50-year forecasts for public spending on health care) |
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| Thursday, 27 June 2019 | |
| 09:00 – 09:45 |
Item 20: The Intergenerational Report |
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| 09:45 – 10:15 |
Item 21: Country presentations: Long-run economic and fiscal forecasts |
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| 10:30 – 11:30 |
Item 22: Demographic Dividend Index: A conceptual framework [presentation] |
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| 11:30 – 12:00 |
Item 23: Final group discussion and closure |